Impact of Climate Change: Losing the Debate?

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Losing the Debate?

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CAGW—Catastrophic Anthropogenic Global Warming—is a complete con, a fraudulent, pseudo-scientific scam.

“Faking Man-Made Global Warming” by Mann & Jones et Al.

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“The arrogance of global warming activists and their fellow travellers in politics is something I know well from the past. They wish to suppress truth, control the market, and dictate policy; and I, who have spent most of my time living under communism, feel obliged to warn against it.”—Dr. Václav Klaus

In a briefing paper for the Global Warming Policy Foundation, Andrew Turnbull outlines the manifold doubts, disputes and disagreements which exist about the IPCC’s key assumptions.
See: “The Really Inconvenient Truth, or ‘It Ain’t Necessarily So’.”

“There is no global temperature. The reasons lie in the properties of the equation of state governing local thermodynamic equilibrium, and the implications cannot be avoided by substituting statistics for physics.”
—Christopher Essex, Ross McKitrick & Bjarne Andresen in “Does Global Temperature Exist?”

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The Utility of Labours:
There’s none so learned, wise or true,
who cannot learn of something new:
experience and age will shew
that much you trow you do not know;
what seem foremost to be correct
on testing you’d perforce reject.
—Demea, in Terence, Adelphoe, 855-58.

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Losing the Debate?
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Anthropogenic Global Warming: a crippled conjecture
Just as intelligent design is a threshold question between non-science and conjectures, anthropogenic global warming (AGW) is a threshold question between conjectures and hypotheses. AGW is a centuries-old conjecture elevated to an established belief by a little clique of quacks who proclaim themselves the Consensus on Climate, guardians of the vault of exclusive knowledge. Does this sound familiar? Is the Consensus patterned after the Council of Trent? As a matter of science, as opposed to a matter of belief, the AGW conjecture is gathering more contradictory evidence than supporting. The layman can test it and understand its failings by applying just the few principles outlined [elsewhere in the article].
AGW fails the test because it is proclaimed by a consensus. Science places no value on such a vote. A unanimous opinion, much less a consensus, is insufficient. Science advances one scientist at a time, and we honor their names. It advances one model at a time. When the article gets around to saying “most scientists believe…,” it’s time to go back to the comics section. Science relies instead on models that make factual predictions that are or might be validated.
AGW fails on the first order scientific principles outlined [earlier] because it does not fit all the data. The consensus relies on models initialized after the start of the Industrial era, which then try to trace out a future climate. Science demands that a climate model reproduce the climate data first. These models don’t fit the first-, second-, or third-order events that characterize the history of Earth’s climate. They don’t reproduce the Ice Ages, the Glacial epochs, or even the rather recent Little Ice Age. The models don’t even have characteristics similar to these profound events, much less have the timing right. Since the start of the Industrial era, Earth has been warming in recovery from these three events. The consensus initializes its models to be in equilibrium, not warming. [...]
Anthropogenic Global Warming is a crippled conjecture, doomed just by these principles of science never to advance to a hypothesis. Its fate would be sealed by a minimally scientifically literate public.
—Jeff Glassman, “Conjecture, Hypothesis, Theory, Law: the Basis of Rational Argument”, in The Crossfit Journal 64 (December, 2007).