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Showing posts with label David Evans. Show all posts
Showing posts with label David Evans. Show all posts

09 April, 2011

Finally Seeing Sense, Perhaps

The Global Warming Policy Foundation republishes an article from Peter Foster, in the (Canadian) Financial Post:
In his devastating 2008 book, An Appeal to Reason: A Cool Look at Global Warming, former British Chancellor of the Exchequer Nigel Lawson noted the perhaps unprecedented hypocrisy surrounding the climate issue. 
“Fortunately,” he concluded, “the gap between rhetoric and reality when it comes to global warming, between the apocalyptic nature of the alleged threat and the relative modesty of the measures so far implemented (not to mention the sublime disregard of international obligations solemnly undertaken), is far greater than I can recall with any other issue in a lifetime of either observing or practising politics.”
Even more fortunately, as rhetoric falters and reality intrudes, the whole issue is now collapsing.  Apocalypse is an increasingly tough sell as the “science” is exposed (see accompanying article by David Evans [see below]).  Climate policy is revealed as not merely ineffective but a Trojan Horse for other costly and destructive agendas.  Most fortunately—and ironically—of all, the world faces a fossil fuel bonanza that will improve lives without causing environmental Armageddon.  [...]
Speaking on Wednesday, Mr. Obama sought to draw in another green target: all that shale gas.  “So we’ve got to do some science there to make sure that the natural gas that we have in this country, we’re extracting it in a safe way,” he said.  “The same thing is true when it comes to oil that’s being piped in from Canada.”
The President seems woefully ignorant of the vast amount of real science—and regulation—that already exists on these issues.  He remains most woefully ignorant about the state of climate science.  Still, Mr. Obama’s waffling is understandable.  More bizarre is the plan announced this week by the government of Alberta to expropriate hefty tracts of oil sands acreage from the industry in order to create “parks and recreation areas.”  [...]
As Lord Lawson suggests, all this represents a level of hypocrisy and economic insanity that boggles the mind and beggars historical parallel.  However, as another incisive writer, Charles Mackay, noted in his 1841 classic, Extraordinary Popular Delusions and the Madness of Crowds, people—once they have burned enough witches or sufficiently damaged their economies with crazy schemes—always come to their senses, forcing their politicians to follow.
David Evans (speaking to the Anti-Carbon-Tax Rally in Perth, Australia, on March 23):
The debate about global warming has reached ridiculous proportions and is full of micro-thin half-truths and misunderstandings.  I am a scientist who was on the carbon gravy train, understands the evidence, was once an alarmist, but am now a skeptic.  Watching this issue unfold has been amusing but, lately, worrying. This issue is tearing society apart, making fools out of our politicians.
Let's set a few things straight.  The whole idea that carbon dioxide is the main cause of the recent global warming is based on a guess that was proved false by empirical evidence during the 1990s.  But the gravy train was too big, with too many jobs, industries, trading profits, political careers, and the possibility of world government and total control riding on the outcome.  So, rather than admit they were wrong, the governments, and their tame climate scientists, now outrageously maintain the fiction that carbon dioxide is a dangerous pollutant.  [...]
Even if we stopped emitting all carbon dioxide tomorrow, completely shut up shop and went back to the Stone Age, according to the official government climate models it would be cooler in 2050 by about 0.015 degrees.  But their models exaggerate ten-fold—in fact our sacrifices would make the planet in 2050 a mere 0.0015 degrees cooler!
Finally, to those who still believe the planet is in danger from our carbon dioxide emissions:  sorry, but you’ve been had.  Yes, carbon dioxide is a cause of global warming, but it’s so minor it’s not worth doing much about.

04 April, 2011

Facts on Climate Change & Energy

Available at Quadrant Online is “Climate facts Labor overlooked”, by Bob Carter, Alan Moran & David Evans:
An internal strategy paper has been provided to Labor MPs for use in the promotion of the Government’s proposed new carbon dioxide tax.
We offer critiques of the two most substantive parts of that paper, namely “Carbon Price” and “Climate Impact on Australia”.  [...]
The claims in the strategy paper that we have to stabilize carbon dioxide emissions immediately or dangerous warming will occur, with manifold dramatic environmental consequences, are based on faulty computer models that are unchanged in basic character from those that have proved to be inaccurate since 1988.  [...]
In the real world, over the last ten years, and despite a 5% increase in atmospheric carbon dioxide:
Global temperature has declined slightly (Liljegren, 2011)
Ocean heat content has declined slightly (Knox & Douglass, 2011); and
Global sea-level rise has remained stable, with no net acceleration (Houston & Dean, 2011)
A PDF [2.9 MB] of the document, “Labor’s Tax Stategy”, is available hence, or JPEGs of the individual pages (minus the title page) can be viewed here.

UPDATE:  SeeCombet: 10 big errors”, by Bob Carter, David Evans, Stewart Franks & Bill Kininmonth; and see also “Combet: unbalanced advice”, by the same authors, at Quadrant Online:
In a speech at the National Press Club on April 13th, Climate Minister Combet revealed again that he is receiving unbalanced scientific advice, and that his understanding of the problem of hypothetical dangerous global warming is inadequate.  His predecessor, Senator Penny Wong, exemplified the same weaknesses and so does the government.  [...]
It is time that the Australian government shook itself free from the baleful influence of the IPCC by, first, commissioning a review by fully independent scientists as to the relative risks of natural and hypothetical human-caused climate change; and, second, by adopting a cost-effective national climate policy of preparation and adaptation.
UPDATE II:  See “Wrong advice, wrong policy”, by Bob Carter, David Evans, Stewart Franks, Bill Kininmonth & Des Moore, at Quadrant Online:
Politically committed to introducing a new carbon dioxide tax, the government campaign to condition public acceptance of it has moved into overdrive over the last few months.  Steps taken since the election include the establishment of a parliamentary Multi-Party Climate Change Committee, a Climate Commission chaired by Professor Tim Flannery and an address at the National Press Club by Climate Minister Combet.
These and other conduits of government influence are transmitting messages based on the same unaudited, partial IPCC advice that has dominated global warming politics worldwide for the last 10 years.
Yet the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) is an unelected, unaccountable (to Australian citizens) United Nations body made up of government officials, and its reports on climate change are authored by persons selected by the IPCC and supported by their respective governments.  [...]
Despite the ready public availability of our reports, and of similar analyses by other independent scientists that also demonstrate there is no justification for continued alarm about global warming, neither the government nor its scientific advisors have offered answers to the criticisms presented.  Meanwhile, the MPCC continues on its stately way, its members making major public policy decisions awhile that are based upon patently flawed and inadequate scientific advice.